Conf = Patriot ------ State = Y
Mascot = Raiders ------ Coach = Matt KarweckGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.4716568 home-field advantage = -1.11 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 A Penn St B1G (12- 4, 98.4) 9-14 208 A Virginia ACC ( 6- 8, 95.3) 9-18 214 H Albany America East ( 8- 9, 92.9) 19-14 218 A Harvard Ivy (10- 5, 96.6) 19-15 222 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 93.3) 16- 5 301 A Loyola Patriot ( 3-11, 92.6) 18- 6 308 A Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 93.8) 19-14 315 H Bucknell Patriot ( 5- 9, 91.5) 17-18 322 A Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 97.6) 12-16 329 H Navy Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.4) 14- 9 405 H Army Patriot (12- 2, 98.5) 7-13 412 A Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 93.5) 9-12 419 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 4-11, 89.2) 15- 3 425 A Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.0) 12-14 429 A Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 93.5) 13-11 502 A Army Patriot (12- 2, 98.5) 16-13 504 N Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.0) 17-10 510 A Penn St B1G (12- 4, 98.4) 11-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 A Penn St 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.03 208 A Virginia 9-18 -9 0 --- -7.14 214 H Albany 19-14 5 4 0.24 218 A Harvard 19-15 4 -1 ++ 5.12 222 A Villanova 16- 5 11 2 ++ 4.79 301 A Loyola 18- 6 12 2 ++ 4.16 308 A Lafayette 19-14 5 1 + 3.37 315 H Bucknell 17-18 -1 6 --- -7.21 322 A Syracuse 12-16 -4 -2 -1.85 329 H Navy 14- 9 5 4 0.68 405 H Army 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.19 412 A Lehigh 9-12 -3 2 -- -5.01 419 H Holy Cross 15- 3 12 8 0.00 425 A Boston Univ 12-14 -2 0 - -2.42 429 A Lehigh 13-11 2 2 -0.01 502 A Army 16-13 3 -3 +++ 6.04 504 N Boston Univ 17-10 7 1 ++ 5.47 510 A Penn St 11-13 -2 -2 0.97UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Virginia 9-18 -9 0 --- -7.14 315 H Bucknell 17-18 -1 6 --- -7.21 405 H Army 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.19 412 A Lehigh 9-12 -3 2 -- -5.01 201 A Penn St 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.03 425 A Boston Univ 12-14 -2 0 - -2.42OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A Army 16-13 3 -3 +++ 6.04 218 A Harvard 19-15 4 -1 ++ 5.12 222 A Villanova 16- 5 11 2 ++ 4.79 301 A Loyola 18- 6 12 2 ++ 4.16 504 N Boston Univ 17-10 7 1 ++ 5.47 308 A Lafayette 19-14 5 1 + 3.37
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.58 Power Rank................. 12 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 87.73 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 15 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6636 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 7 RPI Rating............... .5620 RPI Rank................... 14 Champ. Probability ...... 1.1 Championship Rank ......... 12 Selection sum ........... 39 Selection Rank ............ 12 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 18 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -30. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 18 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7